The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Following an electric start to the season at Daytona and two fast 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race at the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races at this track and will be the 9-4 preferred to collect another win at the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix odds after a strong start to his period that has him at eighth in the NASCAR standings. Prior to making your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, make sure you check at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.
Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and recent results into account.
It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, such as properly projecting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its projected top . Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.
Grew up around race tracks. Big events in venues like ISM Raceway are in his bloodstream. His model has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we could tell you the version is high on Clint Bowyer, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot 25-1 NASCAR odds. He is a goal for anyone searching for a massive payday.
Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win and proceeded to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to a 12th-place end in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five complete at Atlanta and has revealed remarkable speed occasionally. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.
Bowyer, who pushes for Stewart-Haas Racing, was second in one of this year’s Daytona Duels and shut out a year’s NASCAR schedule with an eight-place ending at Homestead. He will also come armed to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar vehicle setup to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.
One of those shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix picks from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway along with the top Vegas favorite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all.
Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the package consistently at this particular track. In fact, He’s finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway
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