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NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR Program kicks into high gear Sunday with All the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag falls at two p.m. ET for your 325-lap race along with defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite in the latest 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 chances. Falling in just behind him with 6-1 NASCAR in Atlanta chances are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who both finished in the top four final week in the Daytona 500. Prior to making your own 2019 QuikTrip 500 picks and NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, make sure you have a look at the projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and current results into account.

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It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, such as nailing wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top contender from the beginning. Anyone who has followed its selections is way, way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His version simulated the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta, we could tell you that the version is high on Chase Elliott, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off at 10-1 odds. Elliott does not have a lengthy history at Atlanta, but he has had success there in all three of his starts at the track since linking the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He’s finished within the top 10 in each of those races and even got a top-five end in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five finishes at Atlanta at the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his father, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level in Atlanta Motor Speedway five times in his career, so it is something of a home track for the 23-year-old. The model expects him to ride that edge to the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker from the model: Kyle Busch, one of the best Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not even crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up started on the pole in this race a season before, but ended up finishing in seventh place. The year prior, he had another quick ride in qualifying and began the race , but wound up in 16th.

Since his win at Atlanta in 2013, Busch has just run 56.7 percent of his laps within the top 15. For his career, he’s finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better values within this loaded 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you’ll need to cover him.

The version can be targeting three other drivers with 2019 NASCAR in Atlanta odds of 10-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning everything. Anyone who backs these long shots can hit it big.

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